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What makes it really bad

By Jim Cooke, Daily Mail Staff writer

In the months since Britain voted to leave the EU, the political and social environment has changed dramatically. The economy has moved along in line with this trend. We are more productive and economic growth is expected to remain close to a quarter of a per cent. The EU is now open, and even with our recent exit, it looks set to be a huge headache after the next recession and economic uncertainty.

The latest developments suggest that there may be serious financial problems that might be at play here. There may be, in fact, some real economic problems with the ongoing EU referendum on the way forward in terms of what financial regulation will lead to, if any, consequences for businesses. At the heart of Brexit is why many people support continuing the membership of the single market, as they have since the 1970s.

Brexit What are the immediate economic consequences

The EU referendum has created huge uncertainty among business and consumers. Business, while likely to take some pain from the Brexit result, also appears to be less prepared to take the risks of the rest of the world. So businesses are feeling that the risk of the UK leaving could be more acute.

The more uncertainty you have, the more you tend to think about what’s the most likely outcome, is the sense amongst the business world.

According to the Oxford Business Review, business has been the most pessimistic country on the Eurozone in just five years.

The UK’s economic woes do not appear to be tied to the outcome of the referendum. The latest survey on the economy showed that more than half of British workers believe the currency will fail. That said, the recent figures may well turn out to be a little more pessimistic than the one previously.

This is more surprising when considering that the UK is currently a trading nation with more export-oriented businesses than the rest of the EU. The report predicts that an ever greater trade deficit between the UK and the rest of the European Union could set up a strong UK economy that could challenge all other international trading partners. However, this would not be expected to leave the rest of Europe vulnerable to any shocks.

But for business observers, Brexit means that the biggest political risk to the UK is being left out - even if the outcome of the referendum were to be decided at the UK’s disposal. If this is not the case, then it seems likely that this is a very different scenario.

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